|★ APPLICATIONS ★ DIVERS ★ POOLSWINNER|8000PLUS) ★|
A few years ago (well, when I was a boy) there were always people on the wireless advertising there infallible system for winning a fortune on the football pools. If the subsequent exposures in the Sunday press where anything to go by, they invariably lived in terraced houses in Finsbury Park drove second hand Morris Minors. Perhaps it only worked for their clients.
The truth is - unfortunately - the football results are always arbitrary, and so unpredictable. If actual form had anything to do with the outcome to many people would be winning - with a consistent drop in the value of the much publicised jackpots. Big money arises only out of totally unexpected results. You might as well simply pick numbers from a hat.
But for those who insist on believing otherwise (or might not own a hat) things have taken an interesting step forward. You can now fail to win the pools completely scientifically -even employing your Amstrad to help in the task. A program produced by Selec Software called Poolswinner (get it?) is designed with precisely that in mind.
Let it be said at the beginning that no claims are made for the success of this program (a wise move), and on that basis alone it has to be presumed that the writer continues to make more from the royalties than any winnings. But what is promised is that using this approach will produce a 'statistically better chance than average' (up to 30% as opposed to a predictable 17%) and a great deal more near misses'. I can't vouch for that, but with all the obvious thought gone into the making I'm inclined to give it a temporary benefit of the doubt. Whether such statistics are ever likely to tip in your favour on one specific Saturday - as they must - is another matter, of course.
The heart of the system is the very impressive database:
20.000 individual results from over ten years worth of league games. From such, various results patterns most likely to indicate a subsequent draw have been isolated on the basis that if the pattern recurs you stand a better than average chance of landing the goods (hence the statistical bias in your favour). This is constantly upgraded with each week's entered results.
It's necessary, of course, to enter weekly the past results of each team. This is all about as exciting -and no quicker- than watching paint dry; until you discover they produce an optional extra program Fixgen (extra to the tune of £1.50). which has all the league fixture for the entire season nicely worked out, ready and waiting. Typing in the appropriate date brings up the relevant teams. The entire program is menu-driven, with usefuJ on-screen prompts where necessary. You still have to type in the figures, of course, but using this method watching the paint definitely gets relegated to second place. Selec update this side of things -as well as the overall database - each season, and you can change up to the latest version for very a reasonable fee.
Once the program has these details under its belt it starts to compare the current probabilities against the past, stored patterns of results in the database. Having computed statistically the likelihood (or not) of the two teams producing a draw, it will then list the best matches in descending order for you to fill in on the treble chance coupon. If your fancy turns towards the prediction of homes or aways it will do that too.
All in all , if you wanted to defy reason and write a program for predicting football results Poolswinner is probably just about the best outcome you might reasonably manage. It represents a genuine 'state of the art' approach to unfounded optimism.
The only thing it can't do. it seems, is to print postal orders and lick the stamp. But then even the best of programs leave some things to the user's own initiative. -Like winning, perhaps?
THE ULTIMATE POOL PREDICTION PROGRAM (CPC)